MK-0616 is a peptide commercialized by Merck, with a leading Phase III program in Heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (heFH). According to Globaldata, it is involved in 13 clinical trials, of which 5 were completed, 7 are ongoing, and 1 is planned. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of MK-0616s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
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The revenue for MK-0616 is expected to reach an annual total of $944 mn by 2037 in the US based off GlobalDatas Expiry Model. The drugs revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drugs phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
MK-0616 Overview
Enlicitide decanoate (MK-0616) is under development for the treatment of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), hypercholesterolemia and heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (heFH). It is administered through oral route in the form of tablet or capsule. The drug candidate acts by targeting proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9).
Merck Overview
Merck is a biopharmaceutical company with focus on the discovery, development, manufacturing and marketing of prescription medicines, biologic therapies, vaccines, and animal health products. It offers prescription products for the treatment of cardiovascular conditions, cancer, immune disorders, infectious and respiratory diseases, and diabetes, among others. The company provides animal health products such as vaccines, poultry products, livestock products and aquaculture products. Merck sells medicines to drug wholesalers, retailers, hospitals, government agencies and managed health care providers; and animal health products to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The company and its subsidiaries operate in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Merck is headquartered in Rahway, New Jersey, the US.
The company reported revenues of (US Dollars) US$60,115 million for the fiscal year ended December 2023 (FY2023), an increase of 1.4% over FY2022. In FY2023, the companys operating margin was 3%, compared to an operating margin of 30.3% in FY2022. In FY2023, the company recorded a net margin of 0.6%, compared to a net margin of 24.5% in FY2022.
The company reported revenues of US$15,775 million for the first quarter ended March 2024, an increase of 7.8% over the previous quarter.
For a complete picture of MK-0616s valuation, buy the drugs risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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GlobalData, the leading provider of industry intelligence, provided the underlying data, research, and analysis used to produce this article.
To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
