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February 16, 2021

GlobalData Epidemiologist Report: Covid infections trending up in India but death rate remains low

By Paul Dennis

16 February

Globally, the total confirmed cases of Covid-19 have reached over 109,246,000 with over 2,410,000 deaths and 72,947,000 recoveries.

The US, India, and Brazil remain the three countries with the highest total confirmed cases worldwide.

The UK maintains its position as the fourth worst affected country, with only 19,000 cases between its total and the fifth worst affected country, Russia.

Of these countries, the seven day moving averages of new cases in both Brazil and India are trending upward.

Within the US, decreasing trends in reported numbers of new cases are observed within all but four states (Delaware, South Carolina, Nebraska and South Dakota).

Despite having the second highest total number of cases, India has reported over 155,000 total deaths, the fourth highest in the world.

Compared to its population of over 1.35 billion, this equates to 115 deaths per million people, a figure much lower than that observed across the US (1,400 deaths/million people) or Europe (between 500-1,900 deaths/million people).

With recent serological studies suggesting the proportion of the population having been infected by the virus is well below the herd immunity threshold, the cause of this low death rate compared to other countries is unclear.

Some experts suggest the low rates could in part be attributed to a generally younger population than other countries.

Ellie Sutcliffe, BSc, Senior Analyst and Associate Epidemiologist at GlobalData

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