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October 11, 2021

GlobalData Epidemiologist Report: Imperative that UK reduces Covid transmission among adolescents

By Paul Dennis

11 October

Globally, the total confirmed cases of Covid-19 have reached over 237,955,000, with more than 4,853,000 deaths reported.

The US, India, and Brazil remain the top three countries for total confirmed cases of Covid-19, with the US reporting the highest number of total confirmed cases out of all countries, with over 44,338,000 cases.

The UK follows these three countries, with over 8,100,000 total confirmed cases after rising from having the sixth most total cases globally in mid-June.

The UK began vaccinating adolescents in August, far later than the US and other European countries, which likely contributed to the high caseloads among school children, who are driving transmission.

As the winter months approach, it will be imperative to reduce transmission in this age group as the high transmission rate may prolong the high number of daily confirmed cases in the UK.

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Several countries in Eastern Europe are also facing high levels of Covid-19 transmission, as Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are all facing over 60 new daily confirmed cases per 100,000 population.

As a result of the high number of Covid-19 cases, the Lithuanian government has declared a state of emergency in their healthcare system.

The measure is designed to grant medical authorities more autonomy in handling their resources to provide the necessary medical assistance to Covid-19 sufferers and other urgent patients.

However, while the measure is designed to reduce mortality by freeing up resources, it is unlikely to dramatically reduce the number of deaths if cases keep rising.

In addition, Lithuania has currently fully vaccinated roughly 58.4% of its population, suggesting that cases may continue to increase without further restrictions, as Lithuania has not yet reached herd immunity.

Walter Gabriel, MPH, Epidemiologist at GlobaData Plc.

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