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October 5, 2021

GlobalData Epidemiologist Report: Indonesia risks Covid surge by reopening Bali

By Paul Dennis

5 October

Globally, the total confirmed cases of Covid-19 have reached over 235,511,000, with more than 4,811,000 deaths reported.

Indonesia, the southeast Asian nation hit hardest by Covid-19, plans to reopen Bali island to foreign tourists for the first time in over 18 months.

Covid-19 cases in the country peaked during the summer, with over 50,000 cases per day in mid-July.

However, daily confirmed cases have since declined considerably, to under 2,000 cases per day in the past week.

Travel restrictions necessitated by the pandemic have devastated Bali’s tourism industry.

In this first phase of reopening the island, eligible travellers would include foreigners with a work permit or business visa that would be required to complete an eight-day quarantine upon arrival.

However, with slightly less than 20% of Indonesia’s population fully vaccinated, it is possible the country could see an increase in cases as it reopens to tourists.

Throughout much of the pandemic, Singapore has employed a “zero Covid” strategy with tight measures intended to completely eliminate the virus’s presence.

Recently; however, the country intended to pivot to a long-term strategy of treating Covid-19 as endemic.

ingapore’s most recent surge in cases, due to circulation of the highly infectious Delta variant, has once again resulted in a tightening of restrictions.

There have been between 2,000–3,000 confirmed cases per day in the past week, but most of these cases have had no or mild symptoms and were detected because the country is doing considerable surveillance.

Over 80% of Singapore’s population is fully vaccinated against Covid-19.

Thus, some officials there are advocating for a more targeted approach that focuses on people with severe illness and preventing deaths, rather than widespread closures and testing of asymptomatic cases.

Shaina Stacy, PhD, MPH, Senior Epidemiologist at GlobalData

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