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October 6, 2021

GlobalData Epidemiologist Report: Vigilance needed to prevent potential Covid surge

By Paul Dennis

6 October

Globally, the total confirmed cases of Covid-19 have reached over 235,933,000, with more than 4,819,000 deaths reported.

Covid-19 cases and deaths are beginning to fall in parts of the US where the Delta variant surged over the summer.

Overall, daily confirmed cases have averaged over 110,000 in recent days, down approximately 60% from mid-September.

Nearly 57% of the US is fully vaccinated, but millions of Americans have yet to be inoculated, leaving some public health officials worried about a winter surge of the virus.

After drops in cases, people tend to let their guard down, traveling more and taking less precautions, such as wearing masks.

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Getting more Americans vaccinated will go a long way toward preventing a fresh wave of cases, as will continued vigilance with mask use and other precautionary measures.

New confirmed cases in the UK have continued to average approximately 33,000 per day over the past week, while daily confirmed deaths remain below 200.

England is seeing a surge of Covid-19 infections among students, reporting about 186,000 student absences with confirmed or suspected infections on 30 September.

This is a 78% increase from two weeks ago.

Although almost 68% of the UK is fully vaccinated, children under 12 are not yet eligible to be vaccinated, and there is no requirement to wear face masks in schools.

Without mask wearing and other mitigation efforts in place, Covid-19 infections will likely continue to rise in young students.

Shaina Stacy, PhD, MPH, Senior Epidemiologist at GlobalData

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