Japan is on track to quickly stamp out the recent Covid-19 surge but more are likely in the future

1 May 2020 (Last Updated May 4th, 2020 08:52)

GlobalData has created three-scenario peak-week models for all countries enduring more than 100 cases of Covid-19. While the peak-week models fit the epidemiology curves in markets such as the US and Western Europe, some Asian countries do not fit the assumed exponential curves of a conventional epidemiology outbreak in an immune-naïve population.

GlobalData’s epidemiology team used its expertise in modelling the global Covid-19 outbreak to investigate the factors causing Asian countries to have distinct outbreak trajectories and produced an alternative forecast model for Japan.