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March 26, 2020

US Covid-19 confirmed cases trending three times higher than previously estimated

By Duncan West

Epidemiologists from GlobalData conducted a three-scenario forecast model of Covid-19 transmission in the US, with a moderate estimate projecting more than 228,500 cases by 31 March. However, developments in the last week have shown the actual increase in confirmed cases was higher than the moderate estimate.

After adjusting the model to take into account the higher daily increase rate of cases, there could be 733,000 confirmed cases by 31 March, almost three times as high as previously estimated

Read more here.

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