GlobalData has created three-scenario peak-week models for all countries enduring more than 100 cases of Covid-19. While the peak-week models fit the epidemiology curves in markets such as the US and Western Europe, some Asian countries do not fit the assumed exponential curves of a conventional epidemiology outbreak in an immune-naïve population.
GlobalData’s epidemiology team used its expertise in modelling the global Covid-19 outbreak to investigate the factors causing Asian countries to have distinct outbreak trajectories and produced an alternative forecast model for Japan.
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