AAV-GAD is a gene therapy commercialized by MeiraGTx, with a leading Phase II program in Parkinson’s Disease. According to Globaldata, it is involved in 4 clinical trials, of which 1 was completed, 2 are ongoing, and 1 was terminated. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of AAV-GAD’s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
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The revenue for AAV-GAD is expected to reach an annual total of $13 mn by 2037 globally based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
AAV-GAD Overview
AAV-GAD is under development for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. The therapeutic candidate is a glutamic acid decarboxylase Adeno-associated virus 2 (AAV2) gene therapy. It is administered as an infusion directly into the subthalamic nucleus.
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MeiraGTx Overview
MeiraGTx is a gene therapy company that develops treatments for ocular, salivary gland and central nervous system diseases. The company’s product pipeline includes AAV-RPGR, AAV-RPE65, AAV-CNGB3, A006, AAV-GAD, AAV-UPF1 and AAV-AQP1. Its pipeline treats X-linked retinitis pigmentosa, gene deficiency, achromatopsia, macular degeneration, parkinson’s disease, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, radiation-induced xerostomia and ophthalmology diseases. MeiraGTx is developing riboswitch inducible expression programs targeting ophthalmology and oncology indications, diabetes and metabolic disorders among others. The company operates in the UK, the Netherlands and the US. MeiraGTx is headquartered in New York City, New York, the US.
For a complete picture of AAV-GAD’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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GlobalData, the leading provider of industry intelligence, provided the underlying data, research, and analysis used to produce this article.
To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
