Epinephrine is a small molecule commercialized by Aquestive Therapeutics, with a leading Phase III program in Anaphylaxis. According to Globaldata, it is involved in 14 clinical trials, of which 12 were completed, 1 is ongoing, and 1 is planned. GlobalData uses proprietary data and analytics to provide a complete picture of Epinephrine’s valuation in its risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). Buy the model here.
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The revenue for Epinephrine is expected to reach an annual total of $728 mn by 2034 in the US based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
Epinephrine Overview
Dibutepinephrine hydrochloride (AQST-109) is under development for the treatment of allergic reactions including anaphylaxis in adults and pediatrics including oral allergy syndrome. It is administered through sublingual route as film. The drug candidate is being developed based on PharmFilm technology.
Aquestive Therapeutics Overview
Aquestive Therapeutics (Aquestive) is a pharmaceutical company that primarily focuses on the development of orally administered products. Its products provide novel alternatives to invasive and inconvenient standard of care therapies, focusing on improving medications and outcomes for patients with central nervous system (CNS) conditions and severe allergies, including anaphylaxis. Aquestive’s portfolio includes commercialized products marketed by its licensees, and it utilizes proprietary technologies like PharmFilm for drug development. The company collaborates with other pharmaceutical companies for the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company has a manufacturing facility in Indiana, the US. Aquestive Therapeutics is headquartered in Warren, New Jersey, the US.
The company reported revenues of (US Dollars) US$50.6 million for the fiscal year ended December 2023 (FY2023), an increase of 6.1% over FY2022. The operating loss of the company was US$16.5 million in FY2023, compared to an operating loss of US$42.1 million in FY2022. The net loss of the company was US$7.9 million in FY2023, compared to a net loss of US$54.4 million in FY2022.
The company reported revenues of US$12.1 million for the first quarter ended March 2024, a decrease of 8.7% over the previous quarter.
For a complete picture of Epinephrine’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
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GlobalData, the leading provider of industry intelligence, provided the underlying data, research, and analysis used to produce this article.
To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
